On Monday, Elon Musk announced that he was merging two of his companies, SpaceX and xAI, in a deal said to be worth $1.25 trillion. The reason, Musk said in an announcement, was that in order for AI to grow, it needed to go to space.
AI relies on "large terrestrial data centers" that run on "immense amounts of power and cooling," he said, which comes at great expense to the environment and community opposition. The solution: data centers in space. "In the long term, space-based AI is obviously the only way to scale," Musk said.
Musk isn't the only one looking to launch data centers into orbit. Google has Project Suncatcher to build solar-powered AI data centers in space. China is looking into space-based data centers, as is Europe. As we reported last year, space-based data centers -- in the form of satellites with solar panels -- are Big Tech's latest fad and Silicon Valley's newest investable venture.
On the surface, it sounds like a logical solution to the unique problem presented by power-hungry data centers. Local communities are rising up against data center projects over concerns about electricity demand, water usage, and rising utility rates. Launching those data centers into space means they are not taking up any space on Earth, and in a sun-synchronous orbit there is the availability of solar energy.
But there's another, simpler way of looking at Musk's merger: SpaceX is profitable, and xAI is not. Not only is xAI not profitable, it's in the midst of a serious cash burn as it races to compete with well-financed rivals like Google and OpenAI. As Bloomberg recently reported, the AI company is burning about $1 billion a month as it spends heavily to build data centers, recruit talent, and run the social media platform X.
Meanwhile, SpaceX generated about $8 billion in profit on an estimated $16 billion of revenue last year, Reuters reported. The main revenue driver is Starlink, which accounts for up to 80 percent of the company's revenue. Since 2019, SpaceX has launched over 9,500 satellites and boasts up to 9 million broadband internet users. The company is also a major government contractor, having secured over $20 billion in NASA and Defense Department deals since 2008. When it goes public later this year, SpaceX is expected to raise up to $50 billion in investment.
Meanwhile, xAI has it own government tie-ups. The Department of Defense is using Grok, in addition to other chatbots, to analyze information that flows through its military intelligence networks.
It's not clear how investors will feel about merging the cash-burning xAI with the profitable SpaceX. But it's important to note that Musk has done this before, when he merged the debt-ridden SolarCity with Tesla in 2016. Since Musk was the largest shareholder and chairman of both Tesla and SolarCity, shareholders sued to block the merger, alleging it was a $2.6 billion "bailout" of a cash-strapped, struggling company. Musk eventually won the lawsuit, with a judge ruling that he did not force Tesla to overpay for SolarCity.
Musk now faces a new lawsuit from Tesla shareholders over his creation of xAI. The lawsuit alleges that Musk breached his fiduciary duty to Tesla by forming xAI, which competes with the automaker for AI talent, resources, and Musk's attention. The news that SpaceX is acquiring xAI certainly won't settle those concerns; if anything, it makes it more chaotic and complex.
So where does this all leave Tesla? In the most recent earnings report, Tesla said it was investing $2 billion into xAI "to enhance Tesla's ability to develop and deploy AI products and services into the physical world at scale." Grok, xAI's chatbot that's currently under investigation in multiple countries for generating nonconsensual sexualized images of people, including children, was recently integrated into certain Tesla vehicles as a voice assistant. Grok also lags behind OpenAI's ChatGPT, Google's Gemini, Anthropic's Claude, and other large language models in several key metrics.
Data centers in space is pure Musk futurism that has no guarantee of success. It's not as simple as just strapping a GPU to a rocket and hitting "launch." First off, GPUs are total power hogs. Unless you've got a nuclear reactor floating up there, you're going to need a massive solar arrays to power it. Then there's the communication situation; even if you're hitching a ride on Starlink, you still have to figure out the budget for sending info back and forth to Earth. Eventually, the numbers start to look pretty scary.
Musk says merging SpaceX and xAI is the way to make it happen. And perhaps one day he'll take the suggestion of bullish investors to combine all his companies, including Tesla, Neuralink, and the Boring Company, into one massive, Musk-run mega-corporation: Musk Inc., if you will. How will Tesla shareholders react?
"Tesla is Musk's liquid piggy bank, since it's publicly traded; his other companies are not," Tesla investor James McRitchie said during a prevote presentation before the company's 2024 shareholder meeting, according to The Wall Street Journal. "Either he sticks around long enough to use our shareholder capital to fund his other ventures, or he shifts his attention sooner if we reject his pay package and turn off the money tap."
